Our hockey season all comes right down to this, one closing sequence for all of the marbles. It has been a enjoyable season right here, although the playoffs have dipped into our earnings from the common season a bit.

The hope is we get proper within the Stanley Cup Final, and this Lightning-Avalanche sequence is an incredible choice to do exactly that. 

Earlier this week, I put collectively some betting futures for probably the most factors recorded within the sequence. By attacking that market, I feel I’ll seemingly take it simple with factors props within the particular person video games. My rooting curiosity is tied up, and I needn’t stretch myself too skinny out of the gate. If you are seeking to discover some prop angles for that market earlier than Game 1, by all means take a gander.

There are some shot prop targets that stand out to me — three in actual fact. Let’s get to them.

Nathan MacKinnon over 4.5 SOG (-128 FD)

The finest odds for this are below FanDuel’s 5+ pictures on objective possibility. For some cause his odds to go over 4.5 are -134, however we get him at -128 on the identical website with that alternate possibility. 

Nathan MacKinnon has been a beast all yr and on this postseason. In 14 playoff video games, MacKinnon has 31 extra pictures than the following closest participant on this workforce. With 82 pictures whole, he is averaging 5.9 pictures per recreation this postseason.

He’s gone over 4.5 SOG in 9 of 14 video games throughout this run, and he is hit in 5 of seven at residence (71%).

Colorado has averaged 43.14 pictures per recreation at residence this postseason, and even when the Avs have a little bit of rust in Game 1, that quantity continues to be more likely to be across the 35+ mark. Just take Andrei Vasilevskiy’s saves line as a barometer, which is ready at 32.5 for Wednesday’s recreation.

Tampa Bay’s greatest shot vulnerability has been to the middle place. Of each playoff workforce this yr, the Lightning have allowed the fifth-most pictures per recreation to facilities.

That behooves MacKinnon, and the Avalanche captain has proven a proclivity for popping out scorching to start out a sequence. In three Game 1s, MacKinnon averages 6 SOG on 10.33 makes an attempt, recording six factors.

I’m prepared to drink the juice right here for Colorado’s prime shooter within the greatest recreation of his profession.

Victor Hedman over 2.5 SOG (-125 DK)

A worthwhile betting strategy for us in these playoffs has been to wager defensemen pictures towards Colorado. We did it with Evan Bouchard of Edmonton final sequence, Roman Josi of Nashville in Round 1 and blended in a number of St. Louis defenders in between.

Now we get Victor Hedman, who has coated his SOG at a 59% fee this postseason. While that hit fee might be larger, the makes an attempt have remained for Tampa Bay’s prime defensemen, averaging 5.9 per recreation. 

The Avalanche rank on the tail finish of blocked pictures per recreation this postseason, and whereas that rating could be tied to fewer pictures on the whole towards them, it confirms my want to wager on defensemen pictures towards this workforce.

Hedman is the logical option to take benefit, and we accomplish that at snug odds right here.

Artturi Lehkonen over 2.5 SOG (+110 DK)

We wrap Game 1’s picks with a plus-money play in Artturi Lehkonen. Now, this choose is broadly hinged to the well being of Nazem Kadri, however all indicators as of this writing level to Kadri being out for Game 1.

If you are a bit extra hesitant, then by all means watch for closing lineups to be introduced. I’m feeling assured Kadri might be out, and I wish to soar on this wager whereas we have now this +110 floating out right here.

You could do not forget that we wager on Lehkonen in Game 4 final sequence, as we observed his position rising when Kadri is out. If we embrace Game 3 of the Western Conference Final, which Kadri was knocked out of in lower than a minute, Lehkonen has gone for 3 or extra pictures on objective in eight of his previous 10 video games with out Kadri within the lineup.

In these video games, Lehkonen averages 3.5 SOG and has gone for five+ pictures 4 instances. He could be a terrific ladder candidate for this recreation if that is your factor.

Lehkonen was regular for Colorado final sequence, masking his SOG in Games 2-4, so we load him as much as construct on that momentum.

Let’s begin this Stanley Cup Final in model and money some bets. Good luck, and benefit from the recreation!

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