Going into Week 18, 11 teams have clinched playoff spots. Fourteen groups have formally been eradicated. And seven fall someplace in between.

Given that we’ve got a gaggle of groups (I’m you, Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles) that don’t have a lot to play for within the last week of the common season, now looks like an excellent time for a reset as we stay up for the playoffs.

The query is straightforward: As issues at present stand, which groups have the very best likelihood to win the Super Bowl? Let’s rank them, with one being probably to hoist the Lombardi Trophy and 16 being least seemingly. This relies on how harmful every workforce can be, assuming it obtained in. Note that the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers — two groups with lower than a ten% likelihood to make it — weren’t included.

Stats are courtesy of TruMedia and Pro Football Focus. EPA stands for Expected Points Added and is used as a efficiency metric. Success fee measures consistency however places much less weight on explosive performs and high-leverage turnovers. You can learn more about both of them here.

1. Green Bay Packers (13-3)

They’re the slight favorites. The Packers have probably the most environment friendly offense within the NFL. They rank first in EPA per drive and third in success fee.

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