NFL Week 16 options most video games being performed on Saturday as a substitute of Sunday. You’ll want to regulate your schedule as eight video games kick off within the 1 p.m. ET window on Saturday. There are three video games on Christmas Day, but when we’re being trustworthy, the NFL schedule makers didn’t do their finest choosing these video games out for the highlight. Only one group has a successful report of the six taking part in on Sunday. See under for odds, storylines and knowledgeable picks from each NFL Week 16 recreation.
The Chiefs are the most important Week 16 favourite, as they’re favored by 9.5 factors at dwelling in opposition to the Seahawks. Kansas City wanted additional time to beat the Texans as 14-point favorites on the highway in Week 15.
We’ve already seen one big market swing this week. The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point favorites at dwelling in opposition to the Philadelphia Eagles. Around 2 p.m. ET Monday, rumors began to swirl about Jalen Hurts availability for the sport, and Dallas jumped as much as a 6-point favourite after the information that Hurts suffered a sprained shoulder in opposition to the Bears. The Eagles at the moment are favored by 4.5 factors.
NFL betting developments
- Favorites are 141-76-2 straight up, however underdogs are 117-95-7 in opposition to the unfold (55.2%)
- Unders are 121-100-2 (54.8%)
- Primetime unders are 26-19-1 (57.8%)
NFL Playoffs clinching eventualities
Six groups have already punched their tickets to the playoffs with three weeks remaining within the common season. The Cowboys, Eagles, Vikings, 49ers, Chiefs and Bills will play within the NFL’s annual match. For simplicity’s sake, I’m solely itemizing the groups that may get in or clinch a division title with a win in Week 16. Our NFL employees has the full playoff picture here.
- Philadelphia clinches NFC East and No. 1 seed with win at Dallas.
- Bills clinch AFC East with a win at Chicago.
- Bengals clinch playoff spot with a win at New England.
All odds are from BetMGM and replace stay. All video games are Saturday until famous they’re on one other day.
You in all probability didn’t come into the 2022 NFL season anticipating to see the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets taking part in an enormous Week 16 recreation with big playoff implications, however right here we’re. The Jets want to get again on observe after shedding three in a row and 4 of their previous 5 video games and are favored by lower than a area aim.
Kickoff is ready for 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday evening at Metlife Stadium. The recreation can be broadcast on Amazon Prime.
While the Jets’ season is quickly fading away after a quick begin, the Jaguars are on a second-half surge that has seen them climb to inside a recreation of Tennessee for the highest spot within the AFC South. A win on Thursday would additionally push them forward of the Jets within the AFC Wild Card race.
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been the driving pressure behind the turnaround. He enters Thursday’s recreation with a passer ranking over 106 in 5 of his previous six video games whereas throwing 14 touchdowns to just one interception throughout that stretch. It needs to be no shock that the Jaguars are 4-2 over that stretch with numbers like that.
The Jets, in the meantime, can be beginning Zach Wilson for a second consecutive recreation as Mike White has once more been dominated out as a consequence of damage. Wilson, the No. 2 total decide in 2021, misplaced his beginning job greater than a month in the past as a consequence of his ineffective play. He returned to the lineup on Sunday and threw a pair of touchdowns and greater than 300 yards, however he additionally accomplished simply 50 p.c of his passes and threw one other expensive interception.
With video games in opposition to Jacksonville, Seattle, and Miami remaining (all playoff contenders), the Jets’ path to the playoffs is wanting very tough, particularly given their latest play.
Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears
When the Bills and Bears take the sector on Saturday, solely Buffalo can be taking part in with hopes of enhancing playoff positioning. As anticipated in a recreation between high and bottom-tier groups, the 11-3 Bills are closely favored. They enter as close to double-digit favorites.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago. CBS will televise the sport.
Justin Fields and the Bears are a wholesome steadiness of enjoyable and competitiveness. They’ve fought laborious in opposition to among the finest groups within the NFL all through the season however typically haven’t completed the battle wins. Will Saturday’s matchup with Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills, who can clinch the AFC East with a victory, observe an analogous script that many Chicago video games have already? Or can the Bears play the position of spoiler late on this season?
Atop the AFC standings heading into Week 16, the Bills, who’ve already clinched a playoff spot, management their future to a first-round bye within the upcoming playoffs. And although the next week’s matchup in opposition to the Cincinnati Bengals could very properly be crucial recreation left on the schedule for the Bills, so far as seeding goes, they have to not overlook the 3-11 Bears. Eight of Chicago’s 14 video games performed this season have been determined by one rating, whereas 9 of Buffalo’s have.
The Detroit Lions are one of many hottest groups within the NFL and have climbed again into playoff competition with wins in six of their previous seven video games. They look to maintain that push in opposition to a Carolina Panthers group that’s nonetheless in competition for the NFC South regardless of their 5-9 report. The Lions are lower than a field-goal favourite on the highway.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET Saturday from Bank Of America Stadium in Charlotte. The recreation can be televised on FOX.
The Lions are the large story right here as they’ve erased a 1-6 begin to climb again to inside a recreation of a wild card spot within the NFC. Their solely loss for the reason that finish of October was a tricky last-second loss to Buffalo on Thanksgiving.
Quarterback Jared Goff has been the large story for the Lions, principally as a consequence of his skill to play mistake-free soccer, throwing only one interception (to 12 touchdowns) over his previous eight video games. Given their remaining schedule, three video games in opposition to groups with shedding information (Carolina, Chicago, and Green Bay), the Lions are in a first-rate place to proceed this late-season surge and doubtlessly sneak right into a playoff spot. Given their latest play and the variety of shut losses they’d early within the yr, they won’t be the group a high NFC group desires to see within the postseason.
The Panthers, in the meantime, have had one of many NFL’s weirdest seasons. They have used a revolving door at quarterback with Baker Mayfield, P.J. Walker, and Sam Darnold all getting begins; they fired their head coach and have seen three opening day starters on offense (Mayfield, Christian McCaffrey, and Robbie Anderson) all both be traded or waived.
Despite that and a 5-9 report, they’re nonetheless very a lot alive within the NFC South, the place each group enters the weekend not less than two video games beneath .500. For the Panthers, it is vitally easy: Win all three remaining video games (Detroit, Tampa Bay, New Orleans), and the AFC South is theirs.
In what is perhaps the best signal of the NFL’s parity, the 5-9 New Orleans Saints (5-9) and 6-8 Cleveland Browns have a pulse within the playoff race. The Browns, winners of three of their previous 4 video games, are a area aim favourite going into Saturday’s recreation.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET Saturday from First Energy Stadium in Cleveland. The recreation can be televised on FOX. The climate will play an enormous position on this recreation, with freezing temperatures and sustained wind gusting as much as 50 mph.
The Browns are going through the far more durable problem for a playoff spot, needing to win out and get some assist elsewhere within the AFC. The Saints have a number of paths to the NFC South crown, however the best one entails them successful their remaining three video games (Cleveland, Philadelphia, and Carolina).
Based on how each groups have performed in latest weeks, this figures to be a sloppy, low-scoring recreation, and the over/beneath of 31 factors (by far the bottom mark on the NFL schedule this week) illustrates that. The Saints have scored greater than 21 factors simply as soon as over the previous six video games, whereas the Browns, even with Deshaun Watson again at quarterback, have been terrible on offense, scoring simply two offensive touchdowns over the previous three video games. Running again Nick Chubb has additionally been restricted in apply this week as a consequence of a foot damage.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans want a win within the worst potential manner, they usually is perhaps taking part in the best group to assist them get one. The Titans are almost a landing favourite in opposition to Houston on Saturday as they appear to snap a four-game shedding streak.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET Saturday from Nissan Stadium in Nashville. The recreation can be televised on CBS.
After storming out to a 7-3 report and looking out like they had been going to cruise to a simple AFC South title, the underside has fallen out on the Titans season. They at the moment are attempting to carry off a surging Jacksonville Jaguars group for the division crown. Tennessee enters the week with only a one-game lead over Jacksonville. While the Titans nonetheless have every little thing in entrance of them and would clinch the division by successful out, they’ve two powerful video games in opposition to Dallas and Jacksonville to shut out the season.
That makes Saturday’s recreation in opposition to a one-win Houston group one which they cannot afford to let slip away. Ryan Tannehill is questionable for Saturday’s recreation with an ankle damage. Malik Willis would get the beginning if Tannehill can’t play.
The largest drawback for the Titans down the stretch has been an anemic offense that was already one of many worst and least explosive teams within the NFL this season and has solely managed to worsen through the shedding streak. The Titans have averaged simply 12 factors through the shedding streak, and never even back-to-back 100-yard video games from Derrick Henry have been sufficient to assist that.
Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs will look to make use of Saturday’s recreation in opposition to Seattle to enhance their possibilities at a first-round bye, whereas a Seahawks win would improve their probabilities of taking part in their manner into the postseason. Kansas City is a double-digit favourite at dwelling.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. FOX will televise the sport.
All it took was a two-game shedding streak for the Seattle Seahawks’ division title hopes to fade utterly. Now at 7-7, they’ll have to complete the season robust to land one of many convention’s wild-card spots. And as luck would have it, Pete Carroll’s squad is off to the midwest to tackle Patrick Mahomes and a Chiefs group that also has a lot to play for. If Tyler Lockett (hand surgical procedure) can’t return to the sector in time for this recreation, the duty can be even taller for the Seahawks to register their first win at Kansas City since 1999.
As beforehand talked about, the Chiefs have loads to play for. No, they aren’t taking part in for an AFC West title (they’ve already locked up the division for a seventh-straight yr) however for a first-round bye within the AFC. Kansas City can hold itself within the race for the highest spot with a win over Seattle on Saturday. Expect the sport plan to function the protection to carry up decently sufficient for Patrick Mahomes to do spectacular issues on the opposite aspect of the ball.
Mahomes is now the favourite to win NFL MVP after Jalen Hurts suffered a sprained shoulder in opposition to Chicago.
The New York Giants could have saved their season with Sunday evening’s win over the Washington Commanders. They can take one other massive step towards a playoff berth in opposition to a Minnesota Vikings group that has already wrapped up the NFC North. The Vikings are a area aim favourite for Saturday’s recreation.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET Saturday from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The recreation can be televised on FOX.
The Giants season had been beginning to slip away in latest weeks due to a 1-4-1 run that took them from NFC East title competition to the Wild Card bubble. Sunday’s win not less than helped solidify their spot in a playoff place. If they win two of their closing three video games (Minnesota, Indianapolis, Philadelphia), they’ll clinch their first playoff spot since 2016 and solely their second previously 11 years.
The stakes usually are not fairly as excessive for the Vikings, who secured the division title this previous Saturday due to the biggest comeback in NFL historical past. They nonetheless have a mathematical shot on the high seed within the NFC and a first-round bye, however trailing the Eagles by two video games with three weeks to play makes it very tough.
Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins is coming off back-to-back 400-yard passing video games for the Vikings and can be going in opposition to a middle-of-the-pack Giants protection that permits 217 passing yards per recreation.
Minnesota stays one of many strangest 10-win groups in NFL historical past, coming into Saturday’s recreation with solely a plus-two level differential on the season. The Vikings are an ideal 10-0 in video games determined by eight factors or much less this season, successful 4 by three factors or much less.
Two AFC groups trying to safe a playoff spot will battle with each other on Saturday afternoon when the Bengals and Patriots take the sector. Looking for its seventh win in a row, Cincinnati will enter the weekend as highway favorites.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. CBS will televise the sport.
On the heels of one of the inconceivable losses the NFL has seen in fairly a while, the Patriots want to show the web page on Week 15 and have their finest stuff prepared for this Saturday’s date with the red-hot Bengals. New England is simply exterior the playoff image with three video games remaining.
After beginning the season with back-to-back losses, not many exterior of the Bengals’ locker room in all probability imagined the group could be coming into Week 16 with a shot at a first-round bye. However, right here’s Cincinnati, who handled key accidents all through the season however managed to enter the weekend in third place within the AFC and only a recreation behind Buffalo for the highest spot within the standings. Yet, Joe Burrow and Co. nonetheless haven’t clinched the AFC North or a playoff spot. So, they’ve nonetheless obtained some tape to run down the stretch of this common season, together with this Saturday in opposition to New England.
Saturday’s matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Baltimore Ravens options two groups trying to rally to seize division titles. The Ravens will take the sector as simply round a landing favourite.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. FOX will televise the sport.
The Ravens have fallen out of first place within the AFC North. They’ll nonetheless have a shot on the division title as the present first-place Bengals nonetheless have a tricky schedule to get by means of, however Baltimore should handle its personal enterprise in the mean time, together with on Saturday in opposition to the well-below .500 Falcons. Of course, the Ravens’ odds of successful this recreation would improve if Lamar Jackson may return to the sector after lacking the previous two video games with a knee damage. Coach John Harbaugh Until then, John Harbaugh has obtained to provide you with a successful formulation for an necessary Week 16 matchup to keep away from dropping within the standings.
Speaking of preventing for a division championship, by some means, a way, the 5-9 Atlanta Falcons’ playoff hopes are nonetheless alive regardless of coming into Week 16 on the backside of the NFC South. How? Their 5-9 report is an identical to the information of the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers, who all are on the heels of the 6-8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers with solely three video games left within the common season. For the Falcons to remain alive, they’ll want rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder to develop up quick as he prepares to make his second begin as a professional. If he and fellow rookies Drake London and Tyler Allgeier could make constructive contributions, it could be sufficient for Atlanta to get previous a Ravens group struggling to attain factors.
Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers search for an eighth straight win once they tackle the still-in-the-playoffs-hunt Washington Commanders, and San Francisco enters the competition as simply round a landing favourite.
Kickoff is ready for 4:05 p.m. ET Saturday at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. CBS will televise the sport.
Washington could be within the playoffs in the event that they had been to start right now, the place it will be a part of the remainder of the NFC East to turn out to be the primary division within the historical past of the NFL to have all 4 of its members make it to the postseason. But we’re a number of weeks away from that doubtlessly occurring. In the meantime, Washington should rebound from a tricky loss to the Giants on Sunday evening and deal with stopping the most well liked group within the league this Saturday.
San Francisco, who clinched the NFC West final week, also needs to be glad the postseason doesn’t begin for an additional few weeks. In a season through which the Bay Area has seen its share of serious accidents, the ultimate few weeks of the common season ought to permit star extensive receiver Deebo Samuel the time he must get wholesome earlier than the playoffs with out speeding again earlier than he’s prepared. The previous few weeks may also permit rookie quarterback Brock Purdy to proceed getting extra snug earlier than the stakes are raised within the playoffs. This recreation in opposition to an excellent Commanders protection can be one other good check for the Niners.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
The Philadelphia Eagles have an opportunity to lock up each the NFC East and the No. 1 spot within the NFC with a win over the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys, who’ve already locked up a playoff spot of their very own, are almost a landing favourite.
Kickoff is ready for 4:25 p.m. ET Saturday from AT&T Stadium in Arlington. The recreation can be televised on FOX.
The largest motive the Cowboys are such massive favorites in opposition to the 13-1 Eagles? The uncertainty across the standing of Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts.
Hurts is likely one of the high MVP candidates within the NFL this season, however he’s at the moment coping with a shoulder damage that might hold him out of the lineup. He can be changed by backup Gardner Minshew if he can’t go. Minshew has solely performed in mop-up responsibility this season, trying solely 4 passes. He did, nonetheless, begin two video games a yr in the past, going 1-1 for the Eagles with 4 touchdowns and an interception.
While Hurts’ standing stays unsure, the Eagles are anticipated to get tight finish Dallas Goedert again within the lineup after he was activated this week.
Dallas is attempting to maintain its slim divisional hopes alive after final Sunday’s brutal additional time loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Cowboys have solely misplaced 4 video games, with every of their previous two coming in additional time. They haven’t misplaced a recreation in regulation since Oct. 16, once they had been on the shedding finish of a 26-17 determination to the Eagles.
The massive concern for the Cowboys is perhaps the turnover issues that Dak Prescott has developed over the previous few weeks. He has thrown seven interceptions over his previous 4 video games, together with three video games with two every. If Dallas has any hopes of beating the Eagles, even with Minshew at quarterback, that should change this week.
Saturday’s Raiders-Steelers recreation are must-wins for each groups as they attempt to play their manner into the playoffs down the stretch of this common season. The Steelers are lower than field-goal favorites.
Kickoff is ready for 8:15 p.m. ET at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. NFL Network will televise the sport.
How does one have a good time an inconceivable win? By getting on the airplane and flying from one coast to the opposite to proceed preventing for his or her playoff lives. That’s what the Raiders are doing this week as they get able to tackle a Steelers group that’s additionally barely hanging onto postseason hopes. Las Vegas has gained 4 of its final 5 video games and can look to win at Pittsburgh for a second-straight season. For that to occur, the Raiders will want their protection to proceed its stable play whereas getting Davante Adams concerned early and sometimes on offense.
Pittsburgh’s playoff hopes are technically nonetheless alive. Additionally, so is Mike Tomlin’s complete “never finished a season with a losing record” factor that has held true since he turned the Steelers’ head coach again in 2007. They’ll have each issues in thoughts as they put together to host the Raiders in Week 16. But with time working out on the season, it’s protected to surprise how reasonable it’s to perform both feat.
Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins (Sun.)
The Miami Dolphins are again dwelling on Sunday after taking part in three consecutive video games on the highway, and it is perhaps simply what they should get again on observe of their push for a playoff spot. The Dolphins are greater than a field-goal favourite in opposition to the Green Bay Packers.
Kickoff is ready for 1 p.m. ET Sunday from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The recreation can be televised on CBS.
The Dolphins’ latest three-game shedding streak has introduced them again to the pack within the AFC Wild Card race, however they need to nonetheless be in an excellent place to finish their postseason drought. All three losses have come on the highway, the place Miami has struggled all yr, going 3-5. The Dolphins 5-1 at dwelling
The massive concern for Miami the previous few weeks has been the protection. It has allowed 78 factors over the previous three video games.
On Sunday, they’re going in opposition to a Packers group that has gained two video games in a row, is beginning to decide up the tempo offensively, and remains to be clinging to some slim playoff hopes. The emergence of rookie Christian Watson has helped jumpstart the passing recreation, whereas the Packers have averaged almost 27 factors per recreation over the previous 5 video games.
Given the play of each offenses, in addition to the struggles of each defenses, there’s the potential for this recreation to show right into a observe meet. The over/beneath is ready at 49.5 factors, the best mark for any recreation on the NFL schedule this week.
Two four-win groups are set to take the stage this Christmas Day when the defending champion Los Angeles Rams host the Denver Broncos. The Rams are slight dwelling underdogs in what’s projected to be one of many lowest-scoring video games of the week.
Kickoff is ready for 4:30 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood. CBS will televise the sport.
Neither the Rams nor Broncos can be taking part in soccer past Week 18 of this common season, so their matchup on Christmas Day can be all about draft positioning — simply not for themselves. Denver swung massive on a Russell Wilson commerce final offseason, thus leaving them with no decide within the 2023 Draft, and the identical goes for Los Angeles, who despatched out its 2023 decide in a commerce package deal to the Detroit Lions that landed the Rams Matthew Stafford again in 2021.
So, what’s there to look at for? If you’re into the Baker Mayfield Hollywood story, he’ll possible be utilizing the rest of the season as an audition for his subsequent contract. As we all know, the audition may include highs and lows price following. But no matter Mayfield’s consequence is on Sunday, it’ll have been in opposition to a Broncos protection that’s arguably the hardest within the NFL.
Putting a cap on the NFL’s Christmas Day slate is an NFC matchup between the Cardinals and Buccaneers. Despite shedding two video games in a row, Tampa Bay is a slight highway favourite.
Kickoff is ready for 8:20 p.m. ET at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. NBC will televise the sport.
The Cardinals are right down to the third-string quarterback for this recreation in opposition to Tampa Bay, which is a microcosm of what their 2022 season has turn out to be — premature and important accidents and lack of cohesion. So once they take the sector in opposition to the Bucs, maybe the one issues that matter are avoiding additional accidents and sustaining a great place in direction of the highest of the upcoming NFL Draft. Trace McSorley will get the beginning for Arizona.
Draft positioning is probably going one of many final issues the Buccaneers are fearful about as they put together for this necessary Week 16 Christmas recreation in opposition to Arizona. Despite a under .500 report (6-8), Tampa Bay sits on the high of the NFC South with three video games left within the common season. Thanks to its positioning within the division standings, Tom Brady and the Bucs could be within the playoffs in the event that they started right now. But the playoffs don’t begin for an additional few weeks, and the Super Bowl LV winners are hardly locked into that playoff spot. However, they’ll inch nearer to doing so with a win over a Cardinals squad that’s misplaced 4 straight.
Even although it appeared slightly sketchy at occasions for the Los Angeles Chargers, they’ve put themselves in a robust place to clinch a playoff spot this season due to some shut wins over the previous few weeks. They can safe that spot additional in opposition to an Indianapolis Colts group that retains discovering new methods to embarrass itself this season. The Chargers are greater than a field-goal highway favourite.
Kickoff is ready for 8:20 p.m. ET Monday evening from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The recreation can be televised nationally on ESPN.
The Chargers have gained three out of their previous 4 video games to enhance to 8-6 on the season, with every of these wins coming by lower than a landing. They don’t play a group with a successful report the remainder of the way in which, getting the Colts, Rams, and Broncos over the ultimate three weeks of the common season.
Los Angeles figures to be favorites in these video games, and on condition that schedule, it will take a monumental collapse to fall wanting the playoffs.
The Chargers offense has been a little bit of a disappointment this season, however after a sluggish begin, Justin Herbert has began to get on slightly roll over the previous few weeks. He has topped the 310-yard mark previously three video games whereas throwing zero interceptions in three of his previous 4 begins.
He ought to have an important alternative to maintain that momentum rolling in opposition to a Colts group that has misplaced 4 video games in a row, every in an more and more embarrassing style.
(Photo of Tony Pollard: Mike Carlson / Getty Images)