NFL Week 12 begins with a triple-header on Thanksgiving and options a number of good matchups, and The Athletic is right here with our knowledgeable picks to win every recreation. Seahawks beat author Michael-Shawn Dugar went 14-0 in Week 11. Can he sustain the recent streak? Additionally, there are not any groups on bye this week, so we get a full slate of soccer with an appetizer on Thursday.

We may see a number of completely different quarterbacks begin on Sunday because the Jets, Texans, Rams, Bears, and Panthers all have named new starters or could also be compelled to begin a distinct quarterback on account of harm.

The Bills play the Lions in Thursday’s first recreation, and it’ll be the Bills’ second straight recreation in Detroit after the blizzard compelled their Week 11 recreation to Detroit. The Bills are favored by 9 factors as of Monday morning.

The second recreation options an NFC East battle between the Giants and Cowboys.  Dallas is favored by greater than a landing at house. The Giants hit their lowest level of the season Sunday after they misplaced to the Detroit Lions at house.

Minnesota hosts the Patriots within the last recreation on Thanksgiving and is a field-goal favourite. The Vikings are 8-2 and have the second-best document within the NFC, however they will’t really feel nice after being blown out by the Cowboys.

The Chiefs are the most important favorites of Week 12. They’re favored by two touchdowns towards the struggling Los Angeles Rams, who could also be with out Matthew Stafford, who suffered one other concussion towards New Orleans on Sunday. Bryce Perkins is predicted to begin for Los Angeles.

Sunday evening is an attention-grabbing matchup between the Packers and Eagles.  Green Bay scored a crucial victory towards Dallas earlier than dropping one other recreation to Tennessee final Thursday. Will the Eagles re-find their mojo? The Eagles dropped a recreation to the Commanders and barely escaped Indianapolis with a win due to a late dashing landing from Jalen Hurts.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Favorites are 98-62-1 straight up on the season, however underdogs are 88-67-6 (56.8%) towards the unfold
  • Unders are 92-69-2 (57.1%) this season and primetime unders are 19-13-1 (59.4%)
  • Favorites went 11-2 in Week 11 straight up however 8-5 towards the unfold.
  • Over/unders tied 6-6 in Week 11.

All odds replace stay. No groups are on bye this week. 

Chicago Bears at New York Jets

Sunday’s Week 12 matchup between the Chicago Bears and New York Jets options two groups trying to get again on observe. The Jets enter this matchup being greater than field-goal favorites at BetMGM. Jets coach Robert Saleh stated he’ll begin Mike White at quarterback and Joe Flacco will function backup. That means earlier starter Zach Wilson will function the third-string quarterback.

The Jets may very well be going through a backup quarterback with Chicago quarterback Justin Fields struggling a separated shoulder. Trevor Siemian is the backup for Chicago.

Just a recreation behind the AFC North-leading Miami Dolphins (7-3), the Jets are hoping to remain within the hunt for a division title after they host the Bears at 1:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Those who will comply with the motion stay on FOX ought to anticipate to see the Jets’ protection flying round and making performs all through the sport, it’s what continues to propel New York to what’s shaping as much as be its finest season since 2015.

For as optimistic as Jets followers must be about their staff’s protection, Bears followers certainly have the correct to be optimistic about their staff’s offense as long as Fields is below heart. He’s totally taken benefit of his velocity all through the season, and as his chemistry continues to develop along with his pass-catchers, he’ll nearly single-handedly make the Bears a menace week in and week out. But after struggling a shoulder harm in Week 11, will Fields be wholesome sufficient to guide Chicago towards the Jets?

Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins

The Houston Texans and Miami Dolphins Week 12 matchup is projected to be some of the lopsided of the day. BetMGM has the Dolphins as double-digit favorites.

Miami will stay at house following its Week 11 bye for a p.m. ET Sunday matchup towards the Texans at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, which can air on CBS. The Dolphins management their future to an AFC East title, and a win over Houston would hold them atop the division. But Miami may be in retailer for one thing higher: a bye within the first spherical of the playoffs and the No. 1-seed within the AFC. With their new-and-improved offense that’s headlined by Tyreek Hill, the Dolphins path solely the Kansas City Chiefs within the AFC standings by one recreation with six weeks of the season remaining.

Houston doesn’t simply have one drawback; it has many. And when Miami’s high-octane offense takes the sphere, the Texans could have one other. It’s unlikely that the Texans offense can commerce blows with the Miami offense. But maybe Dameon Pierce and the offense may discover sufficient success towards Miami’s protection to provide Houston a sensible probability at choosing up its second win of the season.

Texans’ coach Lovie Smith will begin Kyle Allen at quarterback and bench Davis Mills. .

Jacoby Brissett will get yet one more probability to show himself to the Cleveland Browns after they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brissett and the Browns are a bit of greater than a discipline objective underdog at house towards Brady and the Bucs.

Kickoff is about for 1 p.m. ET Sunday. The recreation can be televised on FOX.

In what may be an sudden twist for this Browns season, the offense below Brissett has not likely been the issue. They enter Sunday’s recreation with a top-10 offense that has averaged 24 factors per recreation. Brissett has not been good, and he has had some points defending the ball, however Nick Chubb has helped energy the bottom recreation and the offense has not less than saved them in some video games.

The challenge in Cleveland has been on protection the place the Browns have been torched many of the season, permitting not less than 30 factors in 5 completely different video games.

That may be excellent news for a Tampa Bay offense that has actually struggled to seek out consistency.

Tom Brady has been nice at defending the soccer and avoiding turnovers, however the massive performs and touchdowns have been largely eradicated. Brady has simply 12 landing passes in 10 video games and is averaging simply 6.6 yards per try, one of many lowest marks of his profession.

Despite their struggles on offense, the Buccaneers nonetheless enter the week in first place within the NFC South and the one staff within the division with no dropping document. Given that spot, and a remainin schedule that solely options two extra successful groups (San Francisco and Arizona) Tampa Bay figures to be within the driver’s seat for that high spot.

When the 2022 NFL season started the Denver Broncos most likely assumed they’d be enjoying for playoff seeding or a possible division title by Thanksgiving. Instead, they may be enjoying for coach Nathaniel Hackett’s job. They enter Sunday’s recreation at Carolina as solely a slim favourite (lower than a discipline objective) towards a Panthers staff that is among the worst within the league.

Kickoff is about for 1 p.m. ET Sunday. The recreation can be televised on FOX.

Normally this may be a recreation you have a look at and begin interested by draft place, however the Broncos don’t even have that going for them after buying and selling their 2023 first-round decide to Seattle for Russell Wilson. Wilson has struggled by means of the worst season of his NFL profession and has been one of many many issues on a Denver offense that has fully wasted probably the greatest defensive performances within the league.

The Broncos are permitting simply 17.1 factors per recreation, third finest within the league, however have nonetheless managed solely a 3-7 document of their first 10 video games. They have misplaced 5 video games wherein they’ve allowed lower than 20 factors, and that doesn’t even embody this previous Sunday’s time beyond regulation loss to Las Vegas the place they allowed simply 16 factors in regulation.

The offensive efficiency is much more disappointing given how Wilson was supposed to assist clear up their greatest gap at quarterback.

That mixture of nice protection and unhealthy offense may produce a low-scoring slugfest on Sunday. Denver’s offense has appeared incapable of scoring towards any protection, whereas Carolina brings in one of many league’s worst offenses, averaging simply 18 factors per recreation. The Panthers have already modified coaches, traded away two starters on offense (Robbie Anderson and Christian McCaffrey) and have obtained sub-par play from each Baker Mayfield and P.J. Walker at quarterback. Sunday, they’ll flip to former first-round decide Sam Darnold because the starter.

The over/below for this recreation is about at 36 factors, which is by far the bottom complete of any recreation on the NFL schedule this week.


The Baltimore Ravens have one of many best remaining schedules and except they fully waste that chance must be thought-about the favorites to win the AFC North. After surviving a detailed scare towards Carolina on Sunday, they get one other bottom-team this week after they go to the Jacksonville Jaguars and are a bit of greater than a discipline objective street favourite.

Kickoff is about for 1 p.m. ET Sunday from Jacksonville. The recreation can be televised on CBS.

While the data and rosters ought to make this a recreation Baltimore is predicted to win, Jacksonville has had a knack for maintaining video games extraordinarily shut this season and giving all people a struggle. Only certainly one of their seven losses (this previous Sunday’s 10-point loss to Kansas City) has been by multiple possession. They are in each recreation irrespective of the extent of competitors, however have merely been unable to persistently recover from the hump.

Second-year quarterback Trevor Lawrence is displaying some enchancment and is coming off back-to-back performances with a passer ranking over 106.0, and has solely thrown two interceptions over his previous 5 begins (each coming in the identical recreation).

For Baltimore, Lamar Jackson has cooled off significantly after a dominant begin, and has actually struggled within the passing recreation. Over his previous seven begins he has had a passer ranking above 88.0 only one time, and has thrown solely six touchdowns to 5 interceptions. He continues to be missing weapons within the passing recreation exterior of tight finish Mark Andrews, and it would lastly be catching as much as the Ravens.

Even so, they nonetheless have a 7-3 document, personal the highest spot within the division, and don’t play one other staff with a successful document the remainder of the season.

With yet one more win this season the Jaguars would match their win complete from the previous two seasons (mixed).

We’re set for a rematch of final postseason’s AFC Divisional Round when the Tennesse Titans welcome the Cincinnati Bengals to Nashville. Unlike the latest playoff matchup, the Bengals will enter enemy territory as the favourite.

The Titans host the Bengals at 1:00 p.m. ET Sunday at Nissan Stadium in Nashville on CBS. Both groups may stabilize their present playoff positioning with a victory whereas constructing on their present streak of wins. Yet, the Bengals (presently holding onto a Wild Card spot) would possibly want the win a bit of extra. The excellent news for Cincinnati is that its offense is alive and nicely following its gradual begin to the season. Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase could return this weekend, and if he returns, it’ll solely add to what Joe Burrow and the offense have going.

Derrick Henry is undoubtedly the primary identify that involves thoughts when considering of the Tennessee Titans, understandably so. But his dominance shouldn’t overshadow how nicely the staff’s protection is presently enjoying. Having not performed since November 17, anticipate each Henry and the Titans’ protection to be well-rested, sharp and able to avenge final postseason’s loss to the Bengals.

When the 2022 NFL season started would you will have guessed the Week 12 recreation between the Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons would have important playoff implications? Well, it does, and the Commanders are a bit of greater than a four-point favourite with an opportunity to win their third recreation in a row. They have additionally received 5 of their previous six video games to climb again into the Wild Card race.

Kickoff is about for 1 p.m. ET Sunday from FedEx Field. The recreation can be televised on FOX.

While each groups enter the week on the surface of the NFC playoff image, they’re each very a lot within the race.

Washington finds itself only one recreation again of Seattle for the seventh playoff spot within the NFC and appears to have discovered some new life with Taylor Heinicke changing Carson Wentz. Statistically talking there’s not a lot separating the efficiency of the 2 quarterbacks, however they’ve nonetheless managed to win 4 of 5 below him. That features a 32-21 win to finish Philadelphia’s hopes for an undefeated season.

The protection has been a giant a part of that success in latest weeks, and that protection ought to get a elevate with defensive finish Chase Young being activated after lacking the previous yr on account of a knee harm. Young nonetheless could miss one other recreation as he recovers from the harm that he sustained a yr in the past.

A win on Sunday would go an extended strategy to setting the stage for a frantic end within the NFC East the place Washington nonetheless has two video games towards the New York Giants and yet one more towards Dallas.

Atlanta, regardless of its 5-6 document, continues to be solely a half recreation again of Tampa Bay within the NFC South (with yet one more head-to-head assembly looming in Week 18) and continues to be very a lot alive not just for a playoff spot, but additionally a possible house playoff recreation if it will probably emerge with the highest spot within the division.

The Falcons have one of many league’s finest operating video games, however are going through a stiff check towards a Commanders staff that has the sixth-best run protection within the league. It may be a recreation the place Atlanta wants Marcus Mariota and the passing recreation to make some performs, however they won’t have certainly one of their high passing targets in tight finish Kyle Pitts.

Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday’s Week 12 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Arizona Cardinals is a West Coast battle that includes two groups looking for their method into the playoff image. Arizona will return house as underdogs forward of Sunday’s showdown.

When the Chargers tackle the Cardinals at 4:05 p.m. ET at State Farm Stadium in Glendale on FOX, they’ll be enjoying to maintain tempo with the remainder of the AFC. At .500, Justin Herbert and the Chargers discover themselves three video games behind the Kansas City Chiefs within the AFC West standings. But extra importantly, Los Angeles is presently on the surface of the playoff image with simply six weeks of the common season left. Perhaps going through an opponent who has additionally handled an inventory of accidents all through the season will put Brandon Staley’s crew in a spot to steal a street win.

Even at 4-7, the Cardinals aren’t fairly out of the race for an NFC West championship. However, they’ll want to begin stockpiling wins and so as to take action, Kyler Murray’s bought to be wholesome and taking snaps. Without him, Arizona is each little bit of the underdog that BetMGM is projecting them to be. Murray stated Wednesday he expects to play towards the Chargers after lacking two video games with the hamstring challenge.

It’ll be a matchup between some of the disappointing groups and most shocking groups on Sunday when the Raiders (disappointing) journey to Seattle to tackle the Seahawks (shocking).

Kickoff is about for 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday on CBS from Lumen Field in Seattle.

The Raiders sort of stink, proper? Every week after Derek Carr had a teary presser and he and Davante Adams sort of cryptically referenced gamers on the staff not giving their all, the Raiders beat the Broncos in OT, 22-16. Was it a season-saver? Probably not. If you desire a good 3-7 staff, look no additional than Carolina. The Raiders, in the meantime, look like a rudderless staff nonetheless in search of a defining character trait. That trait is shortly changing into “forgettable” — if the 2022 Raiders are identified for something, it’s… ahhh… man. Derek Carr crying?

The Seahawks, in the meantime, are perhaps the best time within the NFL to root for. Geno Smith redemption story! The staff that no person believed in is 6-4 and first within the NFC West! The offense has been tremendous environment friendly and efficient (Lockett and Metcalf each have 70+ targets), and Kenneth Walker  III has been a revelation. Although, in keeping with TruMedia (through Aaron Reiss), it “might be tough for Kenneth Walker to record many explosive runs in this game. The Raiders have allowed explosive runs at the seventh-lowest rate (7.2%).” Still, it must be an honest path for Seattle to strengthen its maintain on making the NFC playoffs.

New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers will calm down within the Bay Area on Sunday for an NFC battle towards the New Orleans Saints. The Niners are closely favored at BetMGM to tug out a Week 12 victory.

Despite coping with accidents at nearly each crucial place, the Saints are simply two losses behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers within the NFC South standings. Their date with the 49ers at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on FOX may push may both hold them within the hunt for a division title or sink them additional within the standings. From Andy Dalton and Alvin Kamara on the offensive aspect to Cameron Jordan on the opposite aspect, it’s doubtless going to take a whole effort for New Orleans to steal a win from one of many hottest groups within the NFC.

The 49ers are sizzling and out of the blue enjoying like one of many higher groups within the NFC for a lot of causes, together with Christian McCaffrey’s addition, wholesome pass-catchers in George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, and a protection that’s persevering with to point out up week in and week out. With a win, San Francisco may shut out November with a 3-0 document and prolong its successful streak to 4 video games.

Los Angeles Rams at Kansas City Chiefs

This recreation between the Rams and Chiefs options two of the final three Super Bowl champions however has misplaced the joy we could have had for it within the preseason. The Chiefs are favored by greater than two touchdowns, with the 3-7 Rams on a four-game dropping streak.

Kickoff is about for 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday from Arrowhead Stadium. FOX will televise the sport.

The Chiefs have beforehand been favored by greater than 14 factors 5 different instances with Patrick Mahomes because the beginning quarterback, however they’re solely 2-3 towards the unfold in these video games, per TruMedia.

The Rams are anticipated to begin third-stringer Bryce Perkins at quarterback. Matthew Stafford left final week’s recreation towards the Saints, and backup John Wolford can be battling an harm. Perkins is a third-year participant out of Virginia. He signed as an undrafted free agent with the staff in 2020.

The Chiefs’ offense is banged up, with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kadarius Toney and Mecole Hardman all battling accidents. On protection, security Juan Thornhill suffered a calf harm towards the Chargers on Sunday evening.

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles

The excellent news for the Green Bay Packers is Aaron Rodgers has regarded a bit of extra like Aaron Rodgers over the previous couple of video games. The unhealthy information is their season continues to be hanging by a thread with nearly no margin for error, and the more severe information is that they should journey to Philadelphia on Sunday, the place they’re a landing underdog.

Kickoff is about for 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday evening. The recreation can be broadcast nationally on NBC.

After a dreadful begin to the season the place Rodgers and the Packers offense regarded misplaced, he appears to have developed some chemistry with rookie huge receiver Christian Watson who has hauled in 5 touchdowns over the previous two video games after catching simply 10 passes complete over the primary 9 video games of the season. Whether or not that newfound connection can be sufficient to salvage the Packers’ offense and season stays to be seen, however they can’t afford many extra slip-ups, which makes a Sunday evening recreation in Philadelphia all of the extra problematic.

Even although the Eagles have regarded a bit of off the previous two weeks, they nonetheless personal the NFL’s finest document at 9-1 and not too long ago introduced in some reinforcements on protection with the additions of Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh. They contributed half a sack of their debut with the Eagles in a 17-16 win over Indianapolis this previous week.

The Eagles nonetheless wouldn’t have a lot room to breathe within the NFC East regardless of their document, with the Giants and Cowboys each inside a few video games and three head-to-head matches (two towards the Giants and one towards the Cowboys) nonetheless forward in the course of the stretch run of the common season.

The third recreation of the Jeff Saturday period is upon us, and to date, the outcomes have been… unexpectedly nice? Saturday has guided (impressed? Willed?) the Colts to a 25-20 win over the Raiders and suffered a heartbreaking 17-16 loss to the would-be NFC Champion Eagles. How is he doing it? The 207 dashing yards in Week 10 have been probably the most the staff had all season; the 99 dashing yards in Week 11 have been solely eclipsed 3 times by the earlier regime. The Colts have turned the ball over as soon as within the final two weeks; within the 9 earlier video games this season, the staff had 16 complete turnovers.

The Steelers, in the meantime, have been a bizarre dichotomy. They have an thrilling rookie duo of George Pickens and Kenny Pickett. Still, they’ve all however ignored the passing recreation — they’re final in passing yards, and touchdowns and solely three groups have thrown fewer passes this season (granted, Pickett has thrown a fair proportion of picks, however nonetheless — Pickens, Diontae Johnson, Pat Friermuth… let’s go!) They’ve managed to run quite a bit, although. Najee Harris has did not repeat his standout 2021 season, however he was quietly enjoying with a metal plate in his shoe by means of mid-October and may now be healed from a Lisfrac sprain. He’s been on fireplace the final two video games.

So what does this all imply? The Colts are out of the blue thrilling and in each recreation. The Steelers are underachievers leaning on a man who ought to’ve missed 4 weeks to heal (and is out of the blue very popular)l. If you need any piece of this recreation, it’s most likely the below.

Fun truth (from Aaron Reiss and TruMedia): In the previous two video games, the Colts have an early-down go fee within the first 28 minutes of 41%, making them the seventh-most run-heavy offense within the NFL throughout that span.


Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions

After enjoying because the “home” staff in Detroit this previous week, the Bills can be again at Ford Field on Thanksgiving to pay a go to to the Lions. Buffalo can be trying to win its second consecutive recreation and get again on observe within the AFC playoff race and is favored by greater than a landing towards the Lions.

Kickoff is about for 12:30 p.m. ET Thursday from Detroit. The recreation can be broadcast on CBS.

There was quite a bit to love about Buffalo’s efficiency on Sunday if you’re a Bills fan, as they snapped their two-game dropping streak. Josh Allen eradicated the turnovers from his recreation that was holding the staff again in latest weeks whereas the operating steamrolled a nasty Browns run protection to 171 yards, a 5.2-yard per carry common, and a landing. Both Devin Singletary and James Cook topped the 80-yard mark within the win.

The solely issues which have held the Bills again this season have been the occasional turnover drawback from Allen and a scarcity of manufacturing from their operating backs. If they get these two issues below management, or on the very least restrict the turnovers from Allen, they are going to be one of many hardest outs within the AFC playoffs.

They are nonetheless combating for the highest spot within the AFC East, and their remaining schedule is about up for a frantic end within the division. Four of their remaining seven video games come towards AFC East foes (together with each video games towards New England) and a possible first-place showdown with Miami. With Cincinnati additionally remaining on the schedule, it will likely be a tricky run the remainder of the way in which, making video games like Detroit the kind of video games you can’t slip up in.

But don’t sleep on the Lions or assume this can be a walkover recreation.

Dan Campbell has his staff enjoying gutsy soccer, producing three consecutive wins over Green Bay, Chicago, and a convincing win over the New York Giants on the street on Sunday. They have performed lots of actually good groups shut this season and have misplaced some powerful one-score video games to Philadelphia, Minnesota, Seattle, and Miami. Each of these 4 video games was determined by 4 factors or much less.

It can be an extremely quick and hectic week for Buffalo. After going by means of every little thing it did to get to Detroit for the rescheduled recreation, the Bills opted towards staying in Detroit. They returned to Buffalo for a few nights earlier than heading again to Detroit for an early Thursday afternoon recreation. Road groups are already at a scheduling drawback on the quick week, which provides to it.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

It’ll be a traditional NFC East rivalry matchup on Thanksgiving when the shocking New York Giants (7-3) journey to Dallas to tackle the Cowboys (7-3). While the Giants and Cowboys have the identical document, the Cowboys personal a +84 level differential, whereas the Giants have solely outscored their opponents by one level.

Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET Thursday. FOX will broadcast the sport.

Dallas has received three of its 4 video games since Dak Prescott returned to the lineup, however all 4 have been towards NFC North opponents. The lone loss got here in time beyond regulation at Green Bay after the Cowboys blew a 14-point fourth-quarter lead.

Cowboys operating again Tony Pollard leads the NFL in explosive play fee with 14.1% of his touches going for runs of greater than 12 yards or receptions of greater than 16 yards, per TruMedia. Ezekiel Elliott returned to the lineup final week from a knee sprain and scored two touchdowns whereas Pollard obtained many of the work at operating again.

Daniel Jones and the Giants’ offense must cope with a Dallas protection that leads the league in stress fee (42.7%). Saquon Barkley continues to be second within the NFL with 953 dashing yards regardless of a poor efficiency in Week 11.

New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings

It wouldn’t be Thanksgiving Day with out soccer, proper? The New England Patriots will tackle the NFC North-leading Minnesota Vikings to shut out the vacation’s three-game NFL slate. Minnesota will enter Week 12’s contest as a small favourite.

The Vikings will get to remain house for the vacation after they host the Patriots at 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on NBC. It’ll be Minnesota’s sixth time enjoying in Minneapolis this season, which is a spot the place first-year head coach Kevin O’Connell has managed a 4-1 document. Whether the sport is received with their offense, protection or particular groups, the Vikings’ seven wins with no loss in one-score video games this season ought to point out {that a} shut rating recreation may be their finest probability of celebrating Thanksgiving with a win.

How the protection performs may grow to be the distinction between a Patriots win or loss. No one’s been in a position to defeat New England this season when the Patriots hold opponents below 20 factors. Matt Judon and the protection may have the problem of making an attempt to restrict a contact Vikings offense led by Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook.

New England is each 3-2 at house and on the street. New England is 6-3-1 agains the unfold this season whereas the below is 6-4 of their video games to date. Minnesota is 8-2, however solely 4-5-1 towards the unfold and overs and unders are tied at 5-5.

(Photo of Kenneth Gainwell, Quez Watkins: Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

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