In all my years doing this, by no means has a crew been projected to be as sturdy because the Colorado Avalanche.

That began final season the place midway by way of the yr they turned on the jets and began completely obliterating opponents territorially. In the analytics period, no crew has ever managed the scoring likelihood share greater than Colorado. 

For a mannequin that depends upon a good bit on a given participant’s underlying numbers, it meant these gamers have been delivering extra worth and the crew was rated larger. That created the next probability of profitable particular person video games and whereas nothing is ever a assure in sport, the next likelihood is at all times welcome.

More wins imply extra projected factors, a really sturdy likelihood on the playoffs and most significantly a great shot at profitable all of it. Not only a good shot, however an ideal shot contemplating the playoffs are nonetheless 82 video games away. Colorado is the crew to beat this season by a large margin.

The Projection

In all my years doing this, no crew has ever began the season with this a lot confidence bestowed upon it. A 113-point projection is almost remarkable because it virtually ensures Colorado will earn a minimum of 100 factors subsequent season, doing so 96 p.c of the time. Hockey is a extremely variable sport the place it normally takes lots of luck to earn 110 factors or extra. To be that good on expertise alone is extremely uncommon — the Avalanche are particular.

Colorado ranks first within the league with a close to assure at not solely making the playoffs (99.5 p.c) however being a high 10 crew within the league (97 p.c).

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