The Chiefs have now superior to a minimum of the divisional spherical in a fourth consecutive postseason. With a blowout win over the Steelers, Kansas City arrange a rematch of final yr’s AFC title sport because it hosts the Bills this week. The Chiefs opened as 2.5-point favorites in Arrowhead Stadium, the place they’re 8-2 this yr. Except Buffalo fully outplayed them in Arrowhead in October on an evening the place Patrick Mahomes had three turnovers. Quite a bit has modified for the Chiefs since. The offense has corrected its giveaway points – it had 19 within the first eight video games and simply eight since, together with two within the wild card sport – and Mahomes is driving the momentum of a 400-plus yard, five-touchdown sport in opposition to Pittsburgh. That’s a terrific signal heading right into a matchup with a Buffalo protection that enables the NFL’s fewest factors per sport. The Kansas City protection has additionally improved exponentially for the reason that first Buffalo sport, but it surely’s nonetheless going to have its palms full with Josh Allen.

If Buffalo thinks it may come into Kansas City and dominate the way in which it did in October, the Bills might be in for a a lot more durable problem. Make no mistake, Buffalo is enjoying a few of its finest soccer on the proper time. The Bills are recent off a 30-point drubbing of New England within the wild card spherical. Josh Allen and the offense are averaging 32.3 factors over its previous six video games, with a part of that being because of the emergence of the Bills’ floor sport. Buffalo has run for 163.8 yards per sport over that span. The Chiefs rank twenty first in opposition to the run and twenty seventh in opposition to the move, giving the Bills some flexibility on the way to assault.  But the important thing there’s ending drives – Kansas City has been one of many top-scoring defenses for the ultimate two-thirds of the season. Stopping the Chiefs’ offense may be the larger check. Kansas City has scored a minimum of 28 factors in every of its final six video games. Buffalo owns the top-ranked passing and scoring defenses, however stopping Mahomes is much simpler stated than achieved. The Bills gave up practically 400 yards within the first assembly, however generated 4 takeaways. It’d be unwise to imagine Kansas City coughs up the ball 4 occasions once more, particularly throughout a house playoff sport.

Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline

Team Spread Total Moneyline

+105

-1.5

53.5

-125

All odds from BetMGM. Odds up to date at 12 p.m. ET Friday. Click here for dwell odds.

Bills vs. Chiefs storylines

Buffalo Bills information

Kansas City Chiefs information

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This sport may be the perfect sport of the 2022 NFL playoffs. Both groups had some bizarre stretches of soccer this season. Kansas City began the season 3-4 together with a 38-20 loss to Buffalo in Week 5. Buffalo began 4-1 earlier than going by means of a mid-season hunch that noticed them lose to Jacksonville and lose 4 out of six video games earlier than successful their ultimate 4 video games within the common season.  Buffalo went 2-4 in opposition to playoff groups this yr. After that early-season wrestle, the Chiefs gained 9 of their final 10 video games and the offense has discovered its swagger. If I’m going to make an early lean on this sport, it’s on the Chiefs to cowl the two.5-point unfold. Give me the Chiefs at house much like final yr’s AFC Championship sport. The Chiefs and particularly Mahomes have been impatient in that first assembly when the Bills sat two safeties excessive all the time and compelled the Chiefs offense to dink and dunk its manner down the sector. Josh Allen and the Bills have been nice, however house discipline benefit helps the Chiefs overcome the Bills right here. — Andrew DeWitt, senior Sports Betting editor

(Photo of Patrick Mahomes: David Eulitt / Getty Images; The Athletic might obtain an affiliate fee in the event you open an account with BetMGM by means of hyperlinks contained within the above article.)

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