The NFC South must be gained with ease by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season. New Orleans appears to be like just like the next-best crew, however there may be quite a lot of debate as to how good this group truly is.
For starters, it’s onerous to know who will likely be on the sphere. Running again Alvin Kamara is likely one of the most versatile and explosive gamers within the NFL, however it appears to be like like he’s going to overlook a while sooner or later this season as a consequence of suspension. Top receiver Michael Thomas remains to be a query mark, too, as he recovers from harm.
Last season, the Saints truly had top-of-the-line defenses within the league. They completed fourth in factors allowed at lower than 20 factors per sport and appeared to outplay their personnel whereas benefitting from quite a lot of turnovers, which may be onerous to depend on from 12 months to 12 months. Even in the event that they get so much out of their offensive playmakers, they want the protection to be higher than common if they’re going to exceed their win complete. The additions of safeties Marcus Maye and Tyrann Mathieu have upgraded their secondary, however their greatest participant on protection is veteran defensive finish Cameron Jordan who has been within the league for greater than a decade. It is difficult to lean on a man like that too closely.
This goes to be head coach Dennis Allen’s first season main the crew. Getting elevated from defensive coordinator appears to be like just like the good play by way of continuity, however there usually are not quite a lot of defensive coaches killing it within the league proper now.
New Orleans Saints win totals
Over 8.5 (+105)
Under 8.5 (-125)
Best Bet: Under 8.5
You know I hate being with the bulk, however I’m not fairly there with the potential of the Saints. It type of looks like they’re in a holding sample proper now. They usually are not going to dip too low, however the choices they’ve at quarterback and coach are extra satisfactory than inspiring.
The Saints can declare their intention within the NFC South early on as their first three video games are all towards division opponents. In Week 1 they’re at Atlanta, then house to Tampa Bay after which again on the street at Carolina. Those street video games towards weaker opponents are vital, and if they’ll get each of them, the over would possibly look good early.
Next, they’ve a visit to London to tackle Minnesota — which appears to be like like a toss-up — and following that, they’ve elected to not take their bye week. Instead, they’re house to Seattle — a sport that may in all probability be a “gimme” below extra regular scheduling circumstances however now appears to be like like a possible loss despite the fact that the Seahawks are one of many worst groups within the league.
After that sport, the schedule actually stiffens. In a stretch of eight contests, they get each of the Super Bowl contributors at house and three street video games towards playoff groups from a 12 months in the past. That is a tall order for any crew, and with a man like Jameis Winston at quarterback, you simply by no means know when a four-interception sport is about to occur. Mixed into this chunk of the season are a few toss-up video games that turn out to be must-wins for the marketing campaign to be significant.
New Orleans has a late bye week this season (December 12). The closing 4 video games of the schedule embody house dates towards Atlanta and Carolina (which must be wins), however visits to Philly and Cleveland when it’s chilly out — and people groups are determined for wins — seem like losses.
This crew gained 9 video games a season in the past, however I see regression in 2022. Against a lighter schedule, the Saints may need been capable of keep extra related. Even although their division is just not sturdy, getting the NFC West and AFC North is doing them no favors.