Thanksgiving Day is at all times a well-liked reflection level within the hockey calendar due to The Thanksgiving Day Rule: Around 80 % of groups at present in a playoff spot keep in a single. That technique of the 16 groups at present in a playoff spot, roughly 12 or 13 ought to nonetheless be there come April.

Twenty video games can say so much a few staff in order that is sensible, however it’s additionally simply math. Take the typical playoff likelihood of the present 16 playoff groups and the typical is 81 %. Right on track. Teams anticipated to be good have a excessive likelihood of beginning sturdy, and in the event that they don’t there’s likelihood they’ll discover a method to make up floor. Teams anticipated to be unhealthy are the precise reverse.

Nothing is a assure in hockey in both route and that’s why there are at all times early-season surprises. The query is whether or not they can preserve it for an entire season.

At the second, based mostly on factors share, right here’s what the playoff image appears like, with every staff’s projected future file, present playoff likelihood and preseason playoff likelihood for context.

The query round this time is at all times which staff is prone to fall out and which staff is prone to climb again in. The simple probabilistic reply is the one based mostly on present odds. That means, within the West, the Ducks out and Stars in; Penguins in,

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